S&P 500
Last week was the worst for US stocks since March 2020, but all of those losses were erased this week.
As last week’s big drop is erased, the S&P 500 closes at all-time highs.
Excellent stock market recovery
On the day, the S&P 500 gained 3.0 percent, the Nasdaq gained 3.2 percent, the Russell 2000 gained 3.0 percent, and the DJIA gained 2.6 percent.
S&P 500 -6.4 percent, Nasdaq -7.5 percent & DJIA -5.4 percent
Oil
- WTI crude oil rose $3.35 to settle at $107.62, while Brent finished the week at $113.12.
- Both are lower than last Friday’s close, marking the second week in a row of declines but ending a streak of seven consecutive weekly gains.
- Overall, crude has been trading in the middle of the range since the outbreak of the Ukraine war, which should encourage bulls given the recession fears, OPEC+ increase, and SPR release.
- OPEC+ will meet again on Thursday, but a report this week citing five sources indicated that the status quo would be maintained.
- Nigeria has been underproducing but has stated that it hopes to have its oil online soon.
- Libyan production is erratic.
- Today’s buying interest indicates continued tightness in the physical market, but a sharp economic slowdown could reverse that in the coming months.
Crypto
- A pattern of bitcoin volatility explosions followed by nothing
- The market is currently trading sideways.
- In general, volatility breeds volatility in markets.
- Recently, however, there has been a period of huge moves followed by periods of relative dormancy in bitcoin.
- The range has been $19,586 to $21,696 for the entire week.
- That 9.7 percent range is wide for a normal asset, but it is negligible in comparison to the recent BTC norm.
- It’s difficult to comprehend, and what makes it even more perplexing is that something similar occurred in April and May.
- There’s a natural stabilisation mechanism at work here, or it’s just a strange coincidence.
- In any case, the trade here is to wait for a clear break of the range and then follow it. On the downside, that’s a little difficult to do because of the quick spike low on the 3AC liquidation.
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