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GBP/USD recovers from 1.2000 on confusing words from BoE Bailey.

by Elena Martin   ·  March 2, 2023  
About 1.2000 is important for GBP/USD as the Dollar Index indicates contracting volatility. Positive ahead demand and higher producer prices indicate a rise in US inflation.

BoE Bailey emphasized once again how tight the UK labor market is. After a bit of a fall to close to 1.2000 in the early Asian session, the GBP/USD pair has seen buying activity. The market is confusing, and The GBP/USD pair is still in the woods. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is attempting to hold above the 104.00 level after recovering from below 103.70 on news that the inflationary pressures in the country’s manufacturing sector have increased.

S&P500 futures saw pressure as investors struggled to put aside worries about more Federal Reserve interest rate increases (Fed). US Treasury rates were raised by the Fed’s officials’ pessimistic remarks. Returns on US government bonds with a 10-year maturity increased to 4%.

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Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, said on Wednesday that the US inflation rate is still very high, and their responsibility is to lower it, according to Reuters. He continued by saying he was open-minded to a 25 bps rise rather than a 50 bps increase.

Consider a rise in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) given the US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb) range and the skyrocketing demand and prices producers pay.

The ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index, increased from the previous reading of 42.5 and expectations of 43.7 to 47.0. Compared to the consensus estimate of 45.0 and the previous report of 44.5, the Manufacturing Price Paid increased to 51.3. Inflationary pressures will increase due to producers paying higher prices, which will be added to the products they supply.

Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England (BoE), has made ambiguous comments that have driven the Pound (GBP) sterling farther into the woods. Investors stayed away because there needed to be a clear direction on interest rates. BoE According to Reuters, Bailey said that a future hike in bank rates might be appropriate but stressed that nothing had been determined. Yet, he once again emphasized how competitive the UK job market is.

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